Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs McLeod 50.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 72.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 69.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 68.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
McBain
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
McBain
McLeod
Last 9: McBain 2-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
McBain
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
McBain
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
51.3% (628)
-5.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
68.3% (41)
-30.8%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
30.6% (49)
+7.2%
On power play, McLeod has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
McBain
McLeod
Home
50.6% (330)
51.5% (394)
Away
39.7% (320)
50.0% (324)
By Period
McBain
McLeod
P1
45.4%
51.5%
P2
44.5%
47.0%
P3
45.7%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
45.2%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |