Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.2% vs 47.7%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.4% vs Poehling 48.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 56.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 65.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 64.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
McLeod
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McLeod
Poehling
Last 6: McLeod 4-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
0
McLeod
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
McLeod
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (827)
50.4% (680)
-1.4%
Power Play
44.0% (91)
58.3% (12)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (272)
38.8% (219)
+4.2%
On power play, Poehling has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
McLeod shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
McLeod
Poehling
Home
48.5% (619)
47.4% (422)
Away
45.9% (571)
48.1% (489)
By Period
McLeod
Poehling
P1
52.7%
53.3%
P2
43.9%
40.3%
P3
45.8%
50.0%
OT
35.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |