Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.4% vs Poehling 48.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 66.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 58.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 54.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
McLeod
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
McLeod
Poehling
Last 10: McLeod 6-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
1
McLeod
Poehling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
3
McLeod
Poehling
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
6
5
McLeod
Poehling
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (3,136)
49.1% (2,540)
+1.2%
Power Play
52.6% (272)
50.6% (87)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (582)
42.3% (548)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McLeod is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,579).
McLeod shoots left. Poehling is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,135).
Home / Away
McLeod
Poehling
Home
49.8% (2,033)
49.7% (1,506)
Away
49.0% (1,957)
46.5% (1,669)
By Period
McLeod
Poehling
P1
50.6%
50.7%
P2
48.3%
47.8%
P3
49.8%
46.0%
OT
35.5%
40.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
49.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |