Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 52.1% vs Couturier 55.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 59.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 80.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 62.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
McLeod
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
McLeod
Couturier
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
7
McLeod
Couturier
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
4
McLeod
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
4
McLeod
Couturier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (904)
55.1% (1,008)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.6% (59)
64.1% (142)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (241)
53.3% (45)
-4.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
McLeod shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
McLeod
Couturier
Home
51.8% (612)
58.1% (609)
Away
52.9% (592)
53.9% (586)
By Period
McLeod
Couturier
P1
55.4%
55.3%
P2
50.8%
55.8%
P3
51.6%
57.4%
OT
40.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
52.3%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |