Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.4% vs Couturier 52.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 27-16 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 63.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 64.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 65.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
McLeod
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
27
(43 meetings)
16
27
McLeod
Couturier
Last 10: McLeod 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
7
11
McLeod
Couturier
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
6
McLeod
Couturier
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
10
McLeod
Couturier
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (3,136)
52.4% (10,929)
-2.1%
Power Play
52.6% (272)
59.9% (1,276)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (582)
48.7% (1,777)
-5.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McLeod is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,579).
McLeod shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,821).
Home / Away
McLeod
Couturier
Home
49.8% (2,033)
53.4% (7,054)
Away
49.0% (1,957)
51.8% (6,935)
By Period
McLeod
Couturier
P1
50.6%
52.5%
P2
48.3%
52.5%
P3
49.8%
53.0%
OT
35.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
49.4%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |