Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.4% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 65.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 56.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
McLeod
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McLeod
Kuraly
Last 6: McLeod 3-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
0
McLeod
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
McLeod
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
McLeod
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (827)
52.6% (464)
-3.6%
Power Play
44.0% (91)
100.0% (1)
-56.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (272)
46.5% (155)
-3.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
McLeod shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
McLeod
Kuraly
Home
48.5% (619)
55.9% (322)
Away
45.9% (571)
46.0% (298)
By Period
McLeod
Kuraly
P1
52.7%
55.9%
P2
43.9%
46.7%
P3
45.8%
50.7%
OT
35.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |