Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.5% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 83.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 56.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 67.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
McLeod
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
McLeod
Kuraly
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
0
McLeod
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
6
McLeod
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
5
McLeod
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (3,376)
51.6% (5,161)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.7% (296)
56.4% (101)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (644)
44.4% (1,091)
-0.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
McLeod shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
McLeod
Kuraly
Home
50.0% (2,202)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
48.9% (2,114)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
McLeod
Kuraly
P1
50.8%
51.2%
P2
48.0%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
50.2%
OT
37.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |