Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.4% vs Zegras 37.0% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Zegras leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 85.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.9%
Neutral zone
Zegras 61.8%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
McLeod
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
McLeod
Zegras
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
McLeod
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
0
McLeod
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
4
McLeod
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (827)
33.0% (264)
+16.0%
Power Play
44.0% (91)
32.1% (56)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (272)
50.0% (2)
-7.0%
On even strength, McLeod has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
McLeod shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
McLeod
Zegras
Home
48.5% (619)
35.3% (173)
Away
45.9% (571)
30.2% (149)
By Period
McLeod
Zegras
P1
52.7%
33.0%
P2
43.9%
35.7%
P3
45.8%
29.7%
OT
35.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |