Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.5% vs Zegras 39.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 59.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 88.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 67.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
McLeod
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
McLeod
Zegras
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
4
McLeod
Zegras
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
6
1
McLeod
Zegras
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
4
McLeod
Zegras
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (3,376)
39.0% (1,703)
+11.4%
Power Play
50.7% (296)
38.5% (148)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (644)
25.0% (8)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
McLeod shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
McLeod
Zegras
Home
50.0% (2,202)
40.5% (908)
Away
48.9% (2,114)
37.3% (951)
By Period
McLeod
Zegras
P1
50.8%
40.0%
P2
48.0%
38.6%
P3
50.0%
38.2%
OT
37.1%
31.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |