Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.4% vs Seguin 52.5% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 54.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
McLeod
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (827)
53.2% (201)
-4.2%
Power Play
44.0% (91)
60.0% (25)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (272)
44.4% (9)
-1.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
McLeod shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
McLeod
Seguin
Home
48.5% (619)
56.3% (126)
Away
45.9% (571)
50.5% (109)
By Period
McLeod
Seguin
P1
52.7%
44.3%
P2
43.9%
52.1%
P3
45.8%
62.5%
OT
35.7%
80.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%