Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.5% vs Seguin 53.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 84.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 69.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 80.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
McLeod
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
McLeod
Seguin
Last 10: McLeod 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
5
2
McLeod
Seguin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
0
McLeod
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (3,376)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.7% (296)
55.9% (810)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (644)
49.3% (762)
-5.2%
On power play, Seguin has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
McLeod shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
McLeod
Seguin
Home
50.0% (2,202)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
48.9% (2,114)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
McLeod
Seguin
P1
50.8%
52.8%
P2
48.0%
53.3%
P3
50.0%
54.7%
OT
37.1%
54.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:53 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |