Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.4% vs Gourde 46.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 53.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 57.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 57.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
McLeod
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
McLeod
Gourde
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
1
McLeod
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
5
McLeod
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
4
McLeod
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (827)
47.2% (687)
+1.8%
Power Play
44.0% (91)
45.0% (20)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (272)
33.0% (88)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
McLeod shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
McLeod
Gourde
Home
48.5% (619)
44.4% (356)
Away
45.9% (571)
46.5% (439)
By Period
McLeod
Gourde
P1
52.7%
42.2%
P2
43.9%
50.0%
P3
45.8%
44.5%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | OT | 01:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |