Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.5% vs Gourde 48.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 53.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
McLeod
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
18
(33 meetings)
15
18
McLeod
Gourde
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
5
4
McLeod
Gourde
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
5
6
McLeod
Gourde
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
5
8
McLeod
Gourde
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (3,376)
48.4% (4,987)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.7% (296)
57.4% (376)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (644)
40.0% (555)
+4.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
McLeod shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
McLeod
Gourde
Home
50.0% (2,202)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
48.9% (2,114)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
McLeod
Gourde
P1
50.8%
49.8%
P2
48.0%
47.5%
P3
50.0%
47.5%
OT
37.1%
37.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | OT | 01:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |