Who wins more faceoffs, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan O'Reilly leads the head-to-head 6-3 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's faceoff record against Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is 3-6 against Ryan O'Reilly in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-2, Defensive 1-2, Neutral 0-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is the predicted winner with a 65.7% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Ryan O'Reilly

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsL vs Ryan O'ReillyL

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-10.6%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 64.6%

Defensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 67.3%

Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 65.5%

Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 65.7%

65.7%

34.3%

Nugent-Hopkins O'Reilly

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 6 (9 meetings)

Nugent-Hopkins O'Reilly

Last 9: Nugent-Hopkins 3-6 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Even

Nugent-Hopkins O'Reilly

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Nugent-Hopkins O'Reilly

3 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Nugent-Hopkins O'Reilly

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Nugent-Hopkins

O'Reilly

Edge

Even Strength

45.4% (527)

56.1% (690)

-10.7%

Power Play

41.2% (17)

64.6% (96)

-23.4%

Penalty Kill

44.9% (138)

45.9% (109)

-1.0%

On power play, O'Reilly has a +23.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

O'Reilly shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).

Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).

Home / Away

Nugent-Hopkins

O'Reilly

Home

46.1% (336)

58.3% (408)

Away

44.2% (346)

53.6% (487)

By Period

Nugent-Hopkins

O'Reilly

49.1%

57.7%

45.3%

54.8%

42.0%

55.2%

25.0%

45.5%

Final 5 min

39.6%

50.5%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Nugent-Hopkins

48.0%▲

46.5%

45.2%

O'Reilly

56.0%▲

54.5%

55.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 1, 2023	1	08:24	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 15, 2022	3	06:21	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 15, 2022	2	16:22	Neutral	Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 15, 2022	1	05:08	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 15, 2022	1	00:00	Neutral	Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 26, 2022	3	05:14	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 26, 2022	3	04:14	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 26, 2022	3	00:51	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 26, 2022	2	16:33	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly

Nugent-Hopkins's Profile | O'Reilly's Profile