Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Shane Wright

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Wright 41.4% (+6.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Wright 62.3%
Defensive zone Wright 51.4%
Neutral zone Wright 55.3%
Result Shane Wright favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Nugent-Hopkins Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 4 (7 meetings)
3
4
Nugent-Hopkins Wright
Last 7: Nugent-Hopkins 3-4 Wright

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
2
3
Nugent-Hopkins Wright
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
39.7% (461)
+6.3%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
41.0% (61)
+29.6%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
0.0% (1)
+31.8%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +31.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Wright shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Home
50.3% (175)
39.5% (286)
Away
40.4% (114)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
P1
48.5%
40.2%
P2
45.9%
36.7%
P3
46.5%
42.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
40.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%
48.5%
46.4%
Wright
42.0%
42.0%
39.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 29, 2025 3 05:26 Neutral Shane Wright
Nov 29, 2025 2 12:30 Neutral Shane Wright
Oct 25, 2025 3 08:53 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 25, 2025 2 08:15 Offensive Shane Wright
Oct 25, 2025 2 01:46 Neutral Shane Wright
Oct 25, 2025 1 14:48 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 25, 2025 1 01:23 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins