Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Shane Wright
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Wright 43.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 52.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 5-5 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,775)
42.7% (1,326)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.6% (844)
45.1% (133)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (880)
33.3% (6)
+4.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Home
46.5% (5,361)
44.2% (746)
Away
42.8% (5,150)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
P1
45.1%
44.5%
P2
43.9%
40.5%
P3
45.2%
44.0%
OT
43.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Shane Wright |