Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tomas Nosek
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.1%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% vs Nosek 50.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 57.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 58.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.3%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 4-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (351)
51.2% (377)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
50.0% (10)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (39)
41.3% (46)
-5.4%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nosek is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Home
50.0% (198)
48.3% (240)
Away
51.5% (206)
52.3% (193)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
P1
52.1%
48.4%
P2
48.8%
51.4%
P3
50.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
44.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
50.7%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |