Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tomas Nosek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Nosek 48.5% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 68.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 57.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
52.0% (102)
-6.0%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
100.0% (2)
-29.4%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
29.0% (31)
+2.8%
On power play, Nosek has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Home
50.3% (175)
52.0% (50)
Away
40.4% (114)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
P1
48.5%
45.0%
P2
45.9%
42.0%
P3
46.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
41.7%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%