Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tomas Nosek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Nosek 53.6% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.6%
Defensive zone
Nosek 61.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,775)
54.9% (2,710)
-10.1%
Power Play
50.6% (844)
45.8% (48)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (880)
47.2% (428)
-9.4%
On even strength, Nosek has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Home
46.5% (5,361)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
42.8% (5,150)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
P1
45.1%
52.2%
P2
43.9%
54.1%
P3
45.2%
54.7%
OT
43.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |