Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% vs Trocheck 55.9% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 50.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 51.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (189)
57.3% (482)
-9.7%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
67.8% (118)
+32.2%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
42.6% (108)
-13.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Trocheck is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Home
48.5% (132)
52.0% (273)
Away
43.4% (76)
59.8% (435)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
P1
51.4%
55.1%
P2
41.3%
61.1%
P3
48.5%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
56.8%