Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-10.5%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 61.9%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 50.4%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
58.0% (666)
-12.0%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
64.8% (165)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
43.4% (152)
-11.6%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Home
50.3% (175)
55.3% (436)
Away
40.4% (114)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
P1
48.5%
56.4%
P2
45.9%
58.7%
P3
46.5%
55.5%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%