Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Vincent Trocheck
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 33-18 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 91.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 94.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 88.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
33
(51 meetings)
18
33
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
4
13
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
9
7
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
5
13
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,775)
53.7% (10,944)
-8.9%
Power Play
50.6% (844)
60.9% (1,870)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (880)
49.5% (1,472)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Trocheck is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,918).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Home
46.5% (5,361)
56.3% (7,160)
Away
42.8% (5,150)
52.2% (7,126)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
P1
45.1%
54.1%
P2
43.9%
54.7%
P3
45.2%
54.0%
OT
43.2%
52.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |