Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.0% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
O'Reilly
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (856)
57.1% (368)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.5% (233)
55.2% (96)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (144)
50.0% (10)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
O'Reilly shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Stamkos
Home
55.5% (616)
53.9% (230)
Away
55.3% (617)
59.0% (244)
By Period
O'Reilly
Stamkos
P1
58.1%
56.7%
P2
54.9%
54.1%
P3
53.9%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%