Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.0% vs Blueger 48.1% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 94.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 69.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 78.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
O'Reilly
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
O'Reilly
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (856)
49.4% (265)
+6.3%
Power Play
57.5% (233)
66.7% (9)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (144)
34.0% (50)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
O'Reilly shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Blueger
Home
55.5% (616)
49.8% (215)
Away
55.3% (617)
43.1% (109)
By Period
O'Reilly
Blueger
P1
58.1%
46.4%
P2
54.9%
50.4%
P3
53.9%
44.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |