Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 17 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Blueger 50.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Blueger leads 22-22 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 76.9%
Defensive zone
Blueger 76.6%
Neutral zone
Blueger 58.2%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
O'Reilly
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
22
(44 meetings)
22
22
O'Reilly
Blueger
Last 10: O'Reilly 8-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
12
1
O'Reilly
Blueger
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
15
O'Reilly
Blueger
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
8
6
O'Reilly
Blueger
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,290)
52.2% (3,582)
+4.0%
Power Play
58.7% (3,457)
50.6% (77)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (2,826)
42.7% (1,103)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
O'Reilly shoots left. Blueger is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,231).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Blueger
Home
57.6% (10,799)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
54.4% (10,807)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
O'Reilly
Blueger
P1
55.6%
49.2%
P2
57.0%
52.2%
P3
55.0%
48.6%
OT
62.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |