Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.0% vs Trenin 44.8% (+15.2%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.7%
Neutral zone
Trenin 51.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
O'Reilly
Trenin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (856)
40.7% (91)
+15.0%
Power Play
57.5% (233)
0.0% (1)
+57.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (144)
40.0% (20)
+10.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
O'Reilly shoots left. Trenin is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Trenin
Home
55.5% (616)
45.5% (55)
Away
55.3% (617)
35.1% (57)
By Period
O'Reilly
Trenin
P1
58.1%
40.4%
P2
54.9%
38.7%
P3
53.9%
41.4%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Trenin
44.0%▲
40.5%
40.2%