Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.9% vs Carrick 54.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 66.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 64.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 66.5%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Poehling
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Poehling
Carrick
Last 6: Poehling 2-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
0
Poehling
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Poehling
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Poehling
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (666)
55.5% (470)
-5.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
66.7% (3)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (215)
50.0% (58)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Poehling is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Poehling shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Poehling
Carrick
Home
47.3% (404)
58.6% (261)
Away
48.1% (489)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Poehling
Carrick
P1
53.5%
55.9%
P2
40.1%
53.5%
P3
50.0%
55.6%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
47.7%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |