Ryan Poehling vs Sam Carrick

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sam Carrick holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Poehling 48.0% vs Carrick 54.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Poehling 64.5%
Defensive zone Poehling 63.6%
Neutral zone Poehling 65.8%
Result Ryan Poehling favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Poehling Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 4 (6 meetings)
2
4
Poehling Carrick
Last 6: Poehling 2-4 Carrick

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
0
Poehling Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Poehling Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Poehling Carrick
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Poehling
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (680)
55.5% (470)
-5.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
66.7% (3)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (219)
50.0% (58)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +11.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Poehling shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Poehling
Carrick
Home
47.4% (422)
58.6% (261)
Away
48.1% (489)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Poehling
Carrick
P1
53.3%
55.9%
P2
40.3%
53.5%
P3
50.0%
55.6%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
56.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
60.0%
53.5%
47.7%
Carrick
60.0%
57.0%
55.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 22, 2026 3 15:48 Offensive Ryan Poehling
Jan 19, 2026 2 05:36 Defensive Sam Carrick
Jan 19, 2026 1 07:17 Offensive Ryan Poehling
Dec 15, 2025 3 19:57 Neutral Sam Carrick
Dec 15, 2025 3 19:38 Neutral Sam Carrick
Dec 15, 2025 3 12:58 Defensive Sam Carrick