Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.2% vs Carrick 52.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 59.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 50.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.5%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Poehling
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Poehling
Carrick
Last 10: Poehling 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
5
1
Poehling
Carrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
6
Poehling
Carrick
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
6
7
Poehling
Carrick
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,766)
52.2% (2,544)
-2.6%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
61.3% (75)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (631)
50.8% (435)
-9.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Poehling is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,150).
Poehling shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Poehling
Carrick
Home
49.3% (1,688)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
47.2% (1,802)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Poehling
Carrick
P1
50.9%
51.8%
P2
47.1%
52.3%
P3
47.1%
52.6%
OT
37.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
48.2%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:31 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |