Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.0% vs Novak 42.5% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 82.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 82.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Poehling
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (680)
40.4% (408)
+10.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
45.5% (33)
+12.8%
On power play, Poehling has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Poehling shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Poehling
Novak
Home
47.4% (422)
42.0% (212)
Away
48.1% (489)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Poehling
Novak
P1
53.3%
41.9%
P2
40.3%
39.3%
P3
50.0%
42.1%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%