Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.0% vs Kozak 49.7% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Kozak 50.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 51.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Poehling
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (680)
49.3% (294)
+1.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
60.0% (5)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (219)
50.0% (40)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Poehling shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Poehling
Kozak
Home
47.4% (422)
45.5% (145)
Away
48.1% (489)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Poehling
Kozak
P1
53.3%
53.4%
P2
40.3%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%