Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.3% vs Kozak 48.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 55.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 55.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 58.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Poehling
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Poehling
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,780)
48.3% (431)
+1.3%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
62.5% (8)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (635)
48.9% (45)
-7.2%
On power play, Kozak has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Poehling shoots left. Kozak is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Poehling
Kozak
Home
49.3% (1,706)
47.6% (229)
Away
47.2% (1,802)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Poehling
Kozak
P1
50.8%
54.4%
P2
47.1%
45.7%
P3
47.2%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |