Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.9% vs Carrick 54.2% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 72.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Strome
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Strome
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (315)
55.5% (470)
-10.1%
Power Play
35.7% (28)
66.7% (3)
-31.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
50.0% (58)
+0.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Strome shoots right. Carrick is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
42.6% (188)
58.6% (261)
Away
47.2% (159)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
38.6%
55.9%
P2
48.4%
53.5%
P3
46.2%
55.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |