Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Carrick 52.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 80.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 68.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 59.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Strome
Carrick
Last 10: Strome 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
2
Strome
Carrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
5
Strome
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (6,887)
52.2% (2,544)
-8.0%
Power Play
49.2% (855)
61.3% (75)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
50.8% (435)
-9.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Strome shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
44.4% (4,077)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
44.8% (4,075)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
43.9%
51.8%
P2
45.4%
52.3%
P3
44.4%
52.6%
OT
46.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |