Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 45.5%). Strome wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.9% vs Gourde 46.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 68.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 65.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Strome
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Strome
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Strome
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Strome
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (315)
47.2% (687)
-1.8%
Power Play
35.7% (28)
45.0% (20)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
33.0% (88)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Strome shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Strome
Gourde
Home
42.6% (188)
44.4% (356)
Away
47.2% (159)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Strome
Gourde
P1
38.6%
42.2%
P2
48.4%
50.0%
P3
46.2%
44.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |