Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 28 meetings). Strome wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Gourde 48.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 31-25 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 55.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 65.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 63.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Strome
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
25
(56 meetings)
31
25
Strome
Gourde
Last 10: Strome 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
22
6
Strome
Gourde
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
6
10
Strome
Gourde
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
9
Strome
Gourde
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (6,887)
48.4% (4,987)
-4.2%
Power Play
49.2% (855)
57.4% (376)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
40.0% (555)
+1.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Strome shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,950).
Home / Away
Strome
Gourde
Home
44.4% (4,077)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
44.8% (4,075)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Strome
Gourde
P1
43.9%
49.8%
P2
45.4%
47.5%
P3
44.4%
47.5%
OT
46.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 04:09 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |