Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Bennett 47.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 56.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 80.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 72.4%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Hayton
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Hayton
Bennett
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
8
2
Hayton
Bennett
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
4
Hayton
Bennett
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
4
Hayton
Bennett
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
46.8% (5,714)
+4.0%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
53.6% (558)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
41.8% (256)
+3.4%
On even strength, Hayton has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bennett
Home
52.8% (2,269)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Hayton
Bennett
P1
52.0%
48.0%
P2
51.4%
46.5%
P3
49.9%
46.8%
OT
58.1%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 28, 2025 | OT | 00:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |