Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Bennett wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.2% vs Monahan 52.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 69.0%
Defensive zone
Bennett 71.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 70.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Bennett
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Bennett
Monahan
Last 10: Bennett 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Bennett
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
6
Bennett
Monahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Bennett
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (811)
53.0% (874)
-6.6%
Power Play
56.9% (153)
54.7% (161)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
47.5% (101)
+0.3%
On even strength, Monahan has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Bennett shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Bennett
Monahan
Home
49.9% (553)
53.8% (558)
Away
45.7% (457)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Bennett
Monahan
P1
47.4%
49.5%
P2
46.8%
54.8%
P3
48.9%
52.8%
OT
75.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
44.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 00:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |