Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Bennett wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Monahan 51.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 25-14 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 70.8%
Defensive zone
Bennett 68.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 74.3%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Bennett
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
25
(39 meetings)
14
25
Bennett
Monahan
Last 10: Bennett 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
6
5
Bennett
Monahan
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
8
Bennett
Monahan
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
6
12
Bennett
Monahan
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (5,714)
51.1% (11,407)
-4.3%
Power Play
53.6% (558)
53.6% (2,582)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (256)
45.9% (772)
-4.1%
On even strength, Monahan has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Bennett shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Bennett
Monahan
Home
48.3% (3,296)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
45.9% (3,232)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Bennett
Monahan
P1
48.0%
51.0%
P2
46.5%
51.7%
P3
46.8%
51.0%
OT
54.8%
53.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 00:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |