Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 47.8%). Bennett wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.2% vs Johnston 48.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 65.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 52.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Bennett
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bennett
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (811)
47.3% (666)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.9% (153)
50.7% (69)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
51.4% (35)
-3.6%
On power play, Bennett has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Bennett is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Bennett shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Bennett
Johnston
Home
49.9% (553)
47.5% (364)
Away
45.7% (457)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Bennett
Johnston
P1
47.4%
49.4%
P2
46.8%
46.9%
P3
48.9%
47.1%
OT
75.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |