Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Johnston 49.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 66.7%
Defensive zone
Johnston 66.7%
Neutral zone
Johnston 52.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Bennett
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Bennett
Johnston
Last 10: Bennett 7-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
6
1
Bennett
Johnston
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
4
1
Bennett
Johnston
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
8
Bennett
Johnston
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (5,714)
49.1% (2,232)
-2.3%
Power Play
53.6% (558)
52.5% (179)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (256)
44.7% (237)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,269).
Bennett shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Bennett
Johnston
Home
48.3% (3,296)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
45.9% (3,232)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Bennett
Johnston
P1
48.0%
50.0%
P2
46.5%
48.1%
P3
46.8%
48.6%
OT
54.8%
51.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |