Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bennett wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.2% vs Gourde 46.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 75.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 69.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Bennett
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Bennett
Gourde
Last 10: Bennett 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
1
Bennett
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Bennett
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
4
Bennett
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (811)
47.2% (687)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.9% (153)
45.0% (20)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
33.0% (88)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Bennett shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Bennett
Gourde
Home
49.9% (553)
44.4% (356)
Away
45.7% (457)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Bennett
Gourde
P1
47.4%
42.2%
P2
46.8%
50.0%
P3
48.9%
44.5%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |