Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Bennett wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Gourde 48.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 26-15 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 73.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 57.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 56.7%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Bennett
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
26
(41 meetings)
15
26
Bennett
Gourde
Last 10: Bennett 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Bennett
Gourde
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
10
Bennett
Gourde
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
7
11
Bennett
Gourde
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (5,714)
48.4% (4,987)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.6% (558)
57.4% (376)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (256)
40.0% (555)
+1.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Bennett shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Bennett
Gourde
Home
48.3% (3,296)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
45.9% (3,232)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Bennett
Gourde
P1
48.0%
49.8%
P2
46.5%
47.5%
P3
46.8%
47.5%
OT
54.8%
37.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |