Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Carrick 53.7% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 85.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 55.0%
Neutral zone
Beniers 64.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Beniers
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Beniers
Carrick
Last 5: Beniers 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Beniers
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Beniers
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
53.8% (654)
-5.5%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
0.0% (2)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
63.9% (36)
-20.3%
On power play, Beniers has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Beniers shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Beniers
Carrick
Home
48.7% (630)
50.0% (328)
Away
46.5% (564)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Beniers
Carrick
P1
49.2%
56.7%
P2
45.0%
51.1%
P3
49.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
45.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
47.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |