Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 54.2% vs Monahan 52.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 69.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 75.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Carrick
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carrick
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Carrick
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
0
Carrick
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (470)
53.0% (874)
+2.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
54.7% (161)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (58)
47.5% (101)
+2.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Carrick shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Carrick
Monahan
Home
58.6% (261)
53.8% (558)
Away
51.5% (270)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Carrick
Monahan
P1
55.9%
49.5%
P2
53.5%
54.8%
P3
55.6%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
56.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |