Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 54.2% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 69.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 67.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Carrick
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (470)
58.5% (135)
-3.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
80.0% (5)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (58)
44.4% (18)
+5.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Carrick shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Carrick
Karlsson
Home
58.6% (261)
63.7% (91)
Away
51.5% (270)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Carrick
Karlsson
P1
55.9%
54.4%
P2
53.5%
66.7%
P3
55.6%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%