Sam Carrick vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 52.2% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 77.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 69.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Carrick
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Carrick
Karlsson
Last 10: Carrick 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
9
Carrick
Karlsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Carrick
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
0
Carrick
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (2,544)
51.8% (7,849)
+0.4%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
54.8% (1,048)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (435)
44.2% (1,109)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Carrick shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Carrick
Karlsson
Home
51.5% (1,477)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
53.0% (1,577)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Carrick
Karlsson
P1
51.8%
50.3%
P2
52.3%
51.3%
P3
52.6%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |