Sam Lafferty vs Tomas Hertl

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tomas Hertl holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lafferty wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Lafferty 47.5% vs Hertl 54.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor Hertl leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone Hertl 71.9%
Defensive zone Lafferty 69.6%
Neutral zone Hertl 51.8%
Result Sam Lafferty favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Lafferty Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 9 (17 meetings)
8
9
Lafferty Hertl
Last 10: Lafferty 4-6 Hertl

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Lafferty Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
4
Lafferty Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
4
2
Lafferty Hertl
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Lafferty
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (1,417)
53.9% (8,303)
-6.0%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
59.2% (1,995)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (184)
46.3% (806)
-2.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +13.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lafferty is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Lafferty shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Hertl
Home
47.3% (833)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
47.4% (814)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Lafferty
Hertl
P1
49.4%
53.6%
P2
43.1%
54.2%
P3
49.6%
55.3%
OT
60.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
50.0%
50.5%
47.4%
Hertl
66.0%
61.0%
54.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 14, 2026 3 12:14 Neutral Sam Lafferty
Mar 14, 2026 3 12:07 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Mar 14, 2026 1 07:45 Defensive Sam Lafferty
Mar 15, 2025 3 00:58 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Nov 20, 2023 2 12:18 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Nov 20, 2023 1 14:39 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Nov 2, 2023 1 17:00 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Nov 2, 2023 1 16:49 Neutral Sam Lafferty
Jan 1, 2023 2 16:19 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Jan 1, 2023 1 17:58 Defensive Sam Lafferty
Oct 15, 2022 2 07:56 Defensive Sam Lafferty
Apr 23, 2022 2 15:38 Neutral Sam Lafferty
Apr 23, 2022 1 04:31 Neutral Sam Lafferty
Apr 14, 2022 2 04:39 Offensive Sam Lafferty
Apr 14, 2022 2 04:32 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Apr 14, 2022 1 07:54 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Jan 2, 2022 2 12:31 Offensive Tomas Hertl