Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 50.0% vs Zegras 37.0% (+17.1%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 73.1%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 70.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.9%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Lafferty
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (46)
33.0% (264)
+17.0%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lafferty is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Lafferty shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Zegras
Home
47.8% (23)
35.3% (173)
Away
52.2% (23)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Lafferty
Zegras
P1
53.3%
33.0%
P2
55.6%
35.7%
P3
42.9%
29.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%