Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 50.0% vs Zegras 40.4% (+14.9%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 69.3%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 62.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 56.9%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Lafferty
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (22)
33.6% (143)
+16.4%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lafferty is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Lafferty shoots right. Zegras is 35.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Zegras
Home
33.3% (15)
31.6% (98)
Away
85.7% (7)
39.1% (87)
By Period
Lafferty
Zegras
P1
50.0%
38.9%
P2
66.7%
38.0%
P3
33.3%
27.1%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
29.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.1%