Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Reinhart wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 45.1% vs Zegras 43.3% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 57.1%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 67.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 53.6%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Reinhart
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (345)
39.8% (128)
+4.8%
Power Play
43.3% (97)
22.2% (9)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (88)
0.0% (1)
+43.2%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Reinhart shoots right. Zegras is 30.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Zegras
Home
47.9% (267)
29.7% (74)
Away
40.3% (263)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Reinhart
Zegras
P1
45.6%
40.7%
P2
42.0%
35.1%
P3
45.4%
41.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
44.2%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.4%