Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Laughton wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laughton 55.9% vs Hertl 57.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 87.4%
Defensive zone
Laughton 88.5%
Neutral zone
Laughton 52.7%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Laughton
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Laughton
Hertl
Last 5: Laughton 2-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Laughton
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
2
0
Laughton
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Laughton
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laughton
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (488)
58.7% (858)
-4.2%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
55.8% (285)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (142)
62.9% (35)
+0.5%
On power play, Laughton has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Laughton is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Laughton shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Laughton
Hertl
Home
57.5% (275)
60.1% (599)
Away
56.4% (362)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Laughton
Hertl
P1
56.0%
52.4%
P2
61.8%
63.9%
P3
52.1%
58.5%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |