Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laughton 50.4% vs Hertl 54.3% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 28-20 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Laughton 62.6%
Defensive zone
Laughton 85.0%
Neutral zone
Laughton 71.2%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Laughton
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
28
(48 meetings)
20
28
Laughton
Hertl
Last 10: Laughton 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
8
11
Laughton
Hertl
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
7
9
Laughton
Hertl
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
8
Laughton
Hertl
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laughton
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (5,416)
53.9% (8,303)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.0% (330)
59.2% (1,995)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (892)
46.3% (806)
+0.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Laughton is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Laughton shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Laughton
Hertl
Home
51.2% (3,267)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
49.6% (3,371)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Laughton
Hertl
P1
49.3%
53.6%
P2
53.0%
54.2%
P3
49.0%
55.3%
OT
39.6%
46.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.4%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |